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Bagheri-Zadeh, S, Kim, H, Hounsell, S, Wood, C R, Soleymani, H and King, M (2007) Field Study of Concrete Maturity Methodology in Cold Weather. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 133(11), 827–35.

Bernold, L E (2007) Quantitative Assessment of Backhoe Operator Skill. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 133(11), 889–99.

de la Garza, J M, Prateapusanond, A and Ambani, N (2007) Preallocation of Total Float in the Application of a Critical Path Method Based Construction Contract. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 133(11), 836–45.

Lin, K and Soibelman, L (2007) Knowledge-Assisted Retrieval of Online Product Information in Architectural/Engineering/Construction. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 133(11), 871–9.

Luo, Y, Shen, Y and Xu, X (2007) Construction Method for Cylindrical Latticed Shells Based on Expandable Mechanisms. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 133(11), 912–5.

Ozorovskaja, R, Voordijk, J T and Wilderom, C P M (2007) Leadership and Cultures of Lithuanian and Dutch Construction Firms. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 133(11), 900–11.

Shamsai, M, Whitlatch, E and Sezen, H (2007) Economic Evaluation of Reinforced Concrete Structures with Columns Reinforced with Prefabricated Cage System. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 133(11), 864–70.

Sharrard, A L, Matthews, H S and Roth, M (2007) Environmental Implications of Construction Site Energy Use and Electricity Generation1. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 133(11), 846–54.

Skitmore, R M, Pettitt, A N and McVinish, R (2007) Gates’ Bidding Model. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 133(11), 855–63.

  • Type: Journal Article
  • Keywords: Probabilistic models; Procurement; Statistical models; Bids; Contracts; Estimation; Probability distribution;
  • ISBN/ISSN: 0733-9364
  • URL: https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(2007)133:11(855)
  • Abstract:
    In evaluating closed-bid competitive procurement auctions, the most crucial issue is to determine the probability of placing a winning bid for a given markup level. There has long been disagreement on how this should be done due to the absence of a mathematical derivation of one of the main evaluation techniques—Gates’ method. Gates’ method is shown in this paper to be valid if, and only if, bids can be described using the proportional hazards family of statistical distributions. When markup values are included in Gates’ method, it is seen that the underlying statistical distribution required for the method to work is closely related to the Weibull distribution. Likelihood based methods are suggested for parameter estimation and an illustrative example is provided by analysis of Shaffer and Micheau's 1971 construction contract bidding data.

Teizer, J, Caldas, C H and Haas, C T (2007) Real-Time Three-Dimensional Occupancy Grid Modeling for the Detection and Tracking of Construction Resources. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 133(11), 880–8.